Well
Researched and Ready to use Dissertation, page number: 154, Department: M.Sc Civil
Engineering
ABSTRACT
This thesis presents a computer based development of a cost effective
maintenance scheme for the entire Niger state road network, based on a strategy of
timeliness in data gathering and management of the recurrent budgetary allocations for
desirable maintenance options and priorities.
A road inventory was established for the entire state road network, while
twelve candidate roads were selected at random across the network for the
conceptualization of the scheme. The Average Daily Traffic data (ADT) obtained on
these roads were used to estimate the Equivalent Standard Axle Load (ESALs) covering
a twenty year analysis period ; which served as the basis for prioritizing the roads in
order of importance for the maintenance strategy, the trend of the annual budgetary
provisions for road maintenance was equally analyzed.
The Niger state road map was digitized using the AutoCAD 2000 computer
software; in which the road map was divided into three zones according to the geopolitical
spread. The digitized road map was then exported from the AutoCAD2000
drawing environment into the ArcView GIS 3.2a computer software environment from
where a data base was established for the entire road network based on relationships
between the tabular data source and the geographic features on the digitized road
map.
The prevailing road condition data in terms of the wheel track rutting, cracking
and potholes were collected from each of the selected candidate roads; analyzed and
set out into severity bands based on certain perceived or established maintenance
intervention levels for each of the defects. Transition probability matrix reflecting the pavement condition and environment (climates and weather) was also
defined, using Costello’s approach for each of the zones with which the Markov chain
was applied to model the recurrent deterioration over a twenty year analysis period.
The results of this study indicated that the accessibility in terms of road
density for Niger state is approximately 0.036km/km2 , a value by far below the global
economic bench mark of 0.19km/km2
– 0.47km/km2 ,Also the application of the Markov
chain deterioration model for a 20 year analysis indicated that whenever available
maintenance funds are utilized on the network ; a corresponding improvement in
network condition is observed even as the proportion of roads in the “Fair-V.Good”
condition band is increased appreciably. On the other hand when maintenance funds
are not available for utilization on the network, a warp in network condition is observed;
this implies a desirable effective maintenance method for predicting maintenance
budgetary planning and management.
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