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Tuesday 5 October 2021

Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Deregulation on the Downstream Sub-Sector of the Nigeria Petroleum Industry

Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Deregulation on the Downstream Sub-Sector of the Nigeria Petroleum Industry

Chapter One

Introduction

1.1 Background to the Study

Nigeria as a nation over the years has been faced with an unresolved policy implementation which is the deregulation of the downstream sub-sector of the petroleum industry in order to get maximum benefit. The hike in pump price of the premium motor spirit (PMS) can be traced from the Gowon administration (1966 – 1975). It was an administration which boasted of the onetime popular adage „‟money is not the problem of Nigeria but how to spend it. However, the regime pioneered the increase in the pump price of fuel from 6 Kobo to 9.5 Kobo; subsequent government administration followed the trend. None of the previous fuel price hikes transformed the country from its dependency nature or diversified the economy. This is in spite of the fact that Nigeria, in addition to having three major oil refineries also imports refined products to satisfy its domestic consumption. In Nigeria there are negative effect of the incessant increase in price, instability of the supply and distribution of Premium Motor Spirit(PMS) as well as availability of the products. Premium Motor Spirit is needed to power automobiles where people from all field of their endeavours need for their daily activities. Similarly petrol is needed to power generating sets in the country, because the electric energy supply from Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) which is not regular and has been described in many quarters as epileptic. The instability in the supply and distribution, shortage in supply, long queues at the filling stations, hoarding of the product have a way of affecting the Nigeria economy negatively. The deregulation of the downstream sector, as initiated by the Obasanjo Administration in 2003, involved not just the removal of government control of petroleum product prices but also the removal of restrictions on the establishment and (Adegunodo, 2013) operations including refining, jetties and depots, while allowing private sector players to be engaged in the importation and exportation of petroleum products and allowing market forces to prevail (Okafor, 2004).Generally, the federal government has been in the process of total reforms of the Nigerian petroleum industry since 2000.Deregulation is a universal development which is a product of economic globalization by these it means that deregulation brings about opening up of the downstream sector to different players through increase competition in the long run it would lead to lower consumer’s price. Deregulation is freeing of government control from the regulation of a system in order for countries to lessen public sector control and develop an open market while ensuring adequate supply of product. For the policy to be successful in countries, they had to strategically map out an effective policy response which transcend into full deregulation. This policy has been successful in some countries of the world like Peru, Chile, Argentina, Mexico, Japan, and USA among others. In Nigeria today, the issue of deregulation of the downstream sector of the Nigerian petroleum Industry has been on for decades without any visible decision in sight. The surest point around the issue is the debate for the removal or sustenance of subsidies for refined products. However unexpectedly, the result of the deregulation has not been encouraging (Lawal, 2014). There has been continuous increase in petroleum prices with continual scarcity of petroleum products, pipelines vandalisation, large scale smuggling, and low capacity utilization at the nation’s local refineries (Ehinomen & Adepoju, 2012). As reported by the Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) in (2019) Smugglers of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) popularly called Petrol, smuggle the commodity to as far as Burkina Faso, Mali cote d’vore. Neighbouring countries like Ghana has also been one of their base and these is as a result to the price difference of PMS between Nigeria and West African countries.

The government posited that the prices would only rise in the short-term. Comparing the situation to the development in the telecommunications industry, the government argues that the only way to arrest and correct the structural distortions in the sector is liberalization that would encourage businessmen to invest in building refineries and importing products to sell at prices dictated by the market (Adagba, Eme & Ugwu) (2012). However, this is an argument not supported by empirical evidence. Diesel and engine oil prices have been deregulated for years. Yet, unlike the situation in the telecommunication industry, the prices have been going up. It was expected that deregulation would give room for competition which would transform to price reduction and excellent supply and distribution network (James, 2013). In one breath, the government says it has deregulated the market partially yet same government does not want to rule out the continuation of the payment of subsidies. This reflects indecision on a critical issue such as this. Since deregulation was a major point of discussion during the last election campaigns in 2014 - 2015, the present government administration of President Muhammad Buhari ought to have taken time out to debate the issues surrounding deregulation and take a major tangible decision to improve the downstream sector. The inability of previous governments to be decisive on this issue is part of the reason why growth in the downstream subsector in Nigeria is stunted. Nigeria in the last five years has consistently spent over 1 trillion naira that is about $5b USD annually on petrol subsidies and lesser amount has been spent on road construction and other infrastructural development (note that only N20billion was spent on roads in 2015). However over 1 trillion Naira was spent on petrol subsidies in the same year. The major reasons given by those who resist the deregulation of the downstream sector of the oil industry is that if subsidy on petrol is removed, the cost of pump price of petrol will increase.


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